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Regime changes, signal spotlights, and category snapshots for luxury teams following aspirational brand equity.

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© 2026 ArtometriX

Luxury Desirability Intelligence

Observatory/Prestige Skincare

Aspirational Brand Equity Intelligence

Prestige Skincare

Attention data: Google Trends · United States

We decode how attention, aspiration, and competitive pressure are evolving. You decide with conviction.

A comparative intelligence read tailored to how this category actually creates luxury value.

Data Sources
Google Trends
News Signals
Reddit (rolling in)
TikTok (validation)

Last observation: February 22, 2026

Executive Brief

A decision-ready snapshot of category state, leadership, aspirational pressure, and the next move.

Category StateSaturation Risk

Leader

Clarins Double Serum

ADI: 86

Holding aspirational pull now requires precision, not volume.

Fastest Riser

Sk Ii Facial Treatment Essence

Delta: 0.0

Monitor for near-term aspiration gain and competitive pressure.

Risk Signal

—

Monitor regime stability

Validate signal health before scaling investment.

Recommended Move

Monetize & protect

Strengthen key account relationships and invest in brand equity content to defend position.

Calibrated to regime behavior and category timing.

Desirability Ranking

Brands ranked by ADI (Artometrix Desirability Index). Cross-brand comparable 0-100 score.

Compare brands
#BrandADIArtometrix Desirability Index. Cross-brand comparable score (0-100) combining velocity, alpha, and social heat.MomentumBrand-relative momentum (0-100). Growth vs. own history, not vs. peers.AlphaGrowth rate vs. category average. >1 = outperforming, <1 = underperforming.RegimeHMM-detected desirability state: Incubation, Cultural Heat, Saturation Risk, or Dilution.StabilityProbability of staying in current regime. >80% = stable, <60% = transition likely.VolSignal volatility. Calm = predictable. Turbulent = noisy or shifting.DirectionTrend direction from velocity and regime signals.ExhaustionDetects when a trend move is overextended and reversal pressure is building.
1Clarins Double Serum
86
100
7.40Leader
Saturation Risk
99%calm→ neutral23 OK
2Augustinus Bader The Cream
45
59
0.38Laggard
Saturation Risk
98%calm→ neutral16 OK
3Guerlain Abeille Royale
35
35
0.19Laggard
Saturation Risk
98%calm→ neutral14 OK
4Sk Ii Facial Treatment Essence
27
0
0.39Laggard
Incubation
95%calm↗ bullish16 OK
5Skinceuticals C E Ferulic
10
0
-1.51Laggard
Saturation Risk
87%normal→ neutral35 WARN
Metric definitions
ADI

Artometrix Desirability Index. Cross-brand comparable 0-100 score combining velocity, acceleration, alpha, and social heat.

Momentum

Brand-relative momentum (0-100). Measures growth vs. its own history, not vs. peers.

Alpha

Growth rate vs. category average. >1 = outperforming the market, <1 = underperforming.

Regime

HMM-detected desirability state: Incubation, Cultural Heat, Saturation Risk, or Dilution.

Stability

Probability of staying in the current regime. >80% = stable, <60% = transition likely.

Vol

Signal volatility regime. Calm = predictable, turbulent = noisy or shifting.

Direction

Trend direction from velocity and regime signals. Bullish/neutral/bearish.

Exhaustion

Trend exhaustion score. Detects when a move is overextended and reversal pressure is building.

Strategic Positioning

Each brand plotted by comparative desirability (ADI) and momentum. Quadrants map directly to strategic posture.

Momentum Play
Power Brand
Intervention
Mature Equity

Freemium view: showing top 5 brands by ADI. Premium unlocks the full competitive intelligence landscape.

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How to read this chart
X-axis: ADI

Cross-brand desirability score (0-100). Measures how desirable a brand is relative to its peers right now.

Y-axis: Momentum

Brand-relative momentum (0-100). Measures growth vs. its own history, not vs. peers.

Power Brand

High desirability, high momentum. The brand leads the category and is still accelerating.

Momentum Play

Low desirability, high momentum. The brand is rising fast but has not yet consolidated its position.

Mature Equity

High desirability, low momentum. The brand is respected but coasting. Growth requires reactivation without diluting equity.

Intervention

Low desirability, low momentum. Neither desired nor growing. Requires a fundamental narrative reset or portfolio decision.

Reading the extremes

Distance from center matters. A brand pushed to the far top-right is dominant and still accelerating — rare and defensible. Far bottom-left signals structural decline, not a bad quarter. Brands clustered near the median lines are in transition — the next data point will reveal direction. Watch for diagonal movement: top-left to top-right is a challenger earning its rank; top-right to bottom-right is a leader losing steam.

Attention Overview

Volume (default) benchmarks brands against an anchor for cross-brand comparison. Desirability shows the deseasonalized signal per brand. Raw shows Google Trends as-is. Start with the top two and expand for a deeper intelligence read.

Per-brand scale — seasonal noise removed, residual shocks preserved. Not comparable across brands.

Click brand to show/hide, or use Top 2 / Show All

Market Pulse

Macro context from public market proxies, used as validation rather than as a substitute for brand equity signals.

Showing composite Market Pulse only. Drivers available on request.

Signal Validation

Do market conditions align with category attention and equity trends? Overlay and scatter views reveal co-movement and potential leading indicators.

Corr: 0.048R²: 0.002Best lag: -8w (0.186)261 obs
Weak correlation — market proxies and category demand are partially decoupled· Category leads market by ~8 weeks

Sk Ii Facial Treatment Essence

Updated February 22, 2026

Incubation
Stability Index95%
View analysis

Estee Lauder Advanced Night Repair

Updated February 8, 2026

Awaiting analysis
View analysis

Augustinus Bader The Cream

Updated February 22, 2026

Saturation Risk
Stability Index98%
View analysis

Drunk Elephant Protini Polypeptide Cream 50Ml

Awaiting analysis
View analysis

Guerlain Abeille Royale

Updated February 22, 2026

Saturation Risk
Stability Index98%
View analysis

Skinceuticals C E Ferulic

Updated February 8, 2026

Saturation Risk
Stability Index87%
View analysis

Clarins Double Serum

Updated February 22, 2026

Saturation Risk
Stability Index99%
View analysis

La Mer Cream

Updated February 8, 2026

Awaiting analysis
View analysis

Estee Lauder Advanced Night Repair Synchronized Multi Recovery Complex

Updated February 22, 2026

Awaiting analysis
View analysis

Dior Capture Totale Intensive Night Restorative Creme

Updated February 8, 2026

Awaiting analysis
View analysis

Lancome Genifique Serum 50Ml Set | Skincare

Updated February 22, 2026

Awaiting analysis
View analysis

La Mer The Rejuvenating Night Cream

Updated February 22, 2026

Awaiting analysis
View analysis

Desirability States

Incubation
Cultural Heat
Saturation Risk
Dilution